Polkadot at $1.20 or Ethereum at $2,530: Which Is More Likely to Double First?

Polkadot has surged nearly 20% in a month while Ethereum bleeds through nine straight days of ETF outflows, and the gap between their paths to a price double reveals a surprising divide in which coin holds the real momentum right…

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Polkadot (CRYPTO:DOT) has risen 19.1% in just 30 days to $1.20, while Ethereum (CRYPTO:ETH) has gained only 0.8%, currently priced at $2,531 as of October 13, 2026. Ethereum has also experienced a 6.2% drop over the past week. Investors in both cryptocurrencies are left wondering which of their assets is likely to double in price first.

While both coins may aim to double, they start from very different positions relative to their all-time highs, which significantly affects how much new investment it will take to get there. So, can Polkadot achieve a double before Ethereum does?

A Double Means Different Things for DOT and ETH

An all-time high represents the highest price a cryptocurrency has ever reached. The distance from this peak indicates how much of a price rally is needed to regain that level.

Polkadot is currently trading 97.8% below its all-time high and would need to rise about 45.8 times to reach that peak. In contrast, Ethereum is about 48.8% off its record high of $4,946, so it needs to rise nearly double—about 1.95 times—to reach that level again.