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External ReportingVeröffentlicht vor 15 Minuten

BitGo, Bullish, Galaxy, Gemini struggle as crypto winter persists

Many U.S.-based digital asset companies appear to believe that their futures lie pretty much anywhere except the stagnant swamp that the speculative crypto trading market has become.

BitGo, Bullish, Galaxy, Gemini struggle as crypto winter persists
Publisher CoinGeek 11 Min. Lesezeit
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  7. BitGo, Bullish, Galaxy, Gemini struggle as crypto winter persists

Many U.S.-based digital asset companies appear to believe that their futures lie pretty much anywhere except the stagnant swamp that the speculative crypto trading market has become.

We begin our Q2 tour with the Bullish Global (NASDAQ: BLSH) digital asset exchange, booking a net loss of $280 million in the three months ending June 30, which only sounds terrible until you remember that it lost nearly $605 million in Q1. For the first half of 2026, total losses are $884.8 million vs. $240.4 million in the same period last year.

Bullish reported ‘digital asset sales’ of $32.6 billion, barely half the sum reported in Q2 2025. Total ‘adjusted’ revenue came to $92.6 million, up 62% year-on-year but $200,000 below Q1’s total.

‘Adjusted’ transaction revenue (volumes x spread + fees) hit $29.9 million, up 24% year-on-year but 21.3% lower than Q1. The ‘subscription, services & other’ revenue segment, which includes the CoinDesk media outlet and its related products/services, brought in a record $62.7 million, nearly twice Q225’s total and 14.4% higher sequentially.

Apart from the disappointing trading activity, Q2’s net loss wasn’t helped by rising costs, up nearly 10% from Q1 to $63.1 million.

Bullish’s bottom line also wasn’t helped by the fact that it maintains the sixth-largest BTC ‘treasury,’ with some 24,300 tokens gathering dust in a custodied wallet(s) somewhere. Bullish reported a $521 million loss on its ‘digital financial assets’ in Q2, a near total reversal of the $560.7 million gain on those same assets in the same period last year.

A snapshot of July’s activity on Bullish shows significant declines in trading volume across all major tokens, with total volume of $30.7 million representing a new low for 2026 and the lowest in the past 12 months (the next lowest was May’s $32.9 million).

This slump isn’t unique to Bullish, as Glassnode data shows the BTC token’s spot exchange volume falling to lows not seen in seven years. America’s largest exchange Coinbase (NASDAQ: COIN), reported spot volume down 24% in its Q2 report. The Robinhood (NASDAQ: HOOD) trading platform reported its crypto trading volume falling 35% year-on-year in Q2, even as options and equities trading volume both spiked higher.

Clearly, diversifying beyond crypto trading is the order of the day for most exchanges, and Bullish is no different. The company says its previously announced $4.2 billion acquisition of global transfer agent Equiniti is “on track” to close in early 2027, “with momentum building.” Bullish CEO Tom Farley says once Equiniti is officially in-house, Bullish “will assemble the complete offering for the issuance, listing, trading and tracking of issuer-sponsored tokens.”

On Wednesday, Bullish announced that “several market participants” had begun trading a tokenized version of the company’s shares on Bullish Exchange, settled against a U.S.-dollar backed stablecoin. The trades marked the first tokenized equity to trade on a Gibraltar Financial Services Commission (GFSC)-regulated exchange. As Farley put it, “financial markets went electronic a generation ago. Tokenization is the next defining shift, and Bullish is building the infrastructure for it.”

On the earnings call, Farley said, “I’m not going to mince words. Crypto is a lousy environment for trading right now.” But Farley is “excited about the trading of tokenized securities on this mousetrap that we built. It may well turn out to be that that was the giant growth opportunity that none of us saw coming, as opposed to traditional crypto assets.”

Investors liked what they heard/read, as Bullish shares closed Thursday up 11.6% to $27.48, although they’re down over 27% since the year began.

Gemini can’t dock this space station

Gemini Space Station (NASDAQ: GEMI), the digital asset exchange turned prediction market run by Cameron and Tyler Winklevoss, reported a net loss of $107.7 million in Q2. That’s an improvement over both Q1’s $109 million loss and the $133.2 million loss in the second quarter of 2025. For the first half of 2026, Gemini’s losses stand at $216.7 million vs. $282.5 million worth of red ink in H125.

Gemini’s revenue actually improved year-on-year, rising more than one-third to $45.5 million, although that figure represents a 9.5% decline from Q1. The sector-wide crypto slump pushed transaction revenue down 15% year-on-year to $17.8 million.

While exchange (retail) revenue fell 38% to $12.5 million, it was a different story with OTC revenue, which shot up from $600,000 last year to $4.7 million in the most recent quarter. Gemini credited higher institutional client activity, “several larger trades” during Q2, and the company’s ongoing expansion of its electronic OTC (eOTC) platform.

The ‘services revenue and interest income’ segment soared 117% year-on-year to $26 million. Most of these gains came via Gemini-branded token-backed credit cards, which shot up 231% year-on-year to $16.2 million. (The Winklevii’s social media feeds feature non-stop shilling for the cards, but it seems to be working, so let ‘em cook.)

However, the credit card bonanza was more than offset by $20.1 million in transaction losses—more than 5x higher than the year before—of which $16.1 million was due to the cards.

Earlier this year, Gemini suffered an ‘identity fraud event’ for which the company initially put aside $4.1 million to cover. But further investigation revealed, “additional fraud patterns and affected accounts … associated with the same Q1 origination cohort and the related accounts migrated into later-stage delinquency buckets during the second quarter.”

Ominously, Gemini confessed that “managed credit card receivables grew to $219.6 million at quarter-end from $93.5 million a year ago … management believes the elevated provision is concentrated within this identified fraud-related cohort and does not reflect broad-based deterioration in the underlying credit portfolio.” Uh-huh.

On a more positive note, Gemini’s staking contributed $4 million to the service’s total, 50% greater than the year before, which Gemini credited to building out its in-house staking validator capabilities. 

Like its rivals, Gemini’s Q2 trading volume was grim, falling two-thirds year-on-year to $3.8 billion. Part of this has to do with the Winklevii’s March decision to de-emphasize its crypto origins and pivot hard towards a new prediction-market future.

Gemini insists that its predictions product is doing swell, setting new monthly volume records in each successive month of Q2. But this new stream contributed just $500,000 to Q2 revenue, suggesting this pivot might not prove the financial life preserver that the twins appeared to believe it could be.

Gemini’s shares closed Thursday up 3.1% to $4.30, but the shares fell as low as $3.90 in after-hours trading as investors digested the Q2 report. For the year-to-date, Gemini’s stock price has fallen nearly 57%, while the decline in the 11 months since Gemini’s Nasdaq debut is over 88%.

Tyler W, Gemini’s CEO, said the results showed “we still have work to do” but “we’re making significant strides building a more resilient company by developing multiple paths to revenue that are less sensitive to crypto market forces and reducing operating expenses.”

Possibly, but Gemini’s crypto exchange was always something of an afterthought in the U.S. market and had even less clout abroad. The early performance of Gemini’s prediction market suggests it will have a tough time carving off market share from the sector’s well-established incumbents.

Their court victory over Mark Zuckerberg aside, the Winklevii’s entrepreneurial efforts haven’t performed much better than the twins’ awful cover band.

Last November, the Winklevii hopped on the digital asset treasury bandwagon by co-opting a former biotech firm, rechristening it Cypherpunk Technologies Inc (NASDAQ: CYPH), and loading it up with Zcash (ZEC) privacy tokens. The initial announcement caused Cypherpunk’s shares to nearly $4, but they almost immediately fell back to earth and closed Thursday at just $0.65.

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BitGo to new custodians: bring it

Digital asset custodian/trading/staking platform BitGo (NASDAQ: BTGO) booked a $19 million net loss in Q2, an improvement over Q1’s $60.7 million loss but a significant turnaround from the $38.3 million profit in Q225. Revenue was up 14.7% sequentially and nearly 80% year-on-year to $4.33 billion, but costs were also on the up, including an $18.8 million decline in the value of the company’s token treasury.

The bulk of revenue came via digital asset sales, which rose 14.7% sequentially to just under $4.2 billion. Staking revenue was up 30.9% sequentially to $64.7 million, although that’s 28.8% below Q225’s tally. BitGo attributed the rise in sequential staking to increased institutional activity, but the take rate was just 6%, down from 16.1% in Q1.

The ‘subscriptions & services’ segment brought in $27.5 million, an increase in both sequential (+7.7%) and year-on-year (+8.5%) terms. BitGo stressed that its custody and wallet relationships “remain the foundation of the platform” and the company has prioritized converting more of these relationships into “recurring, multi-product revenue.”

The stablecoin-as-a-service segment generated $38.8 million, up 1.7% sequentially but more than doubling from Q225, while the take rate on sponsor fees grew to 8%. The sequential growth came courtesy of higher reserve balances and fixed monthly fees from supported stablecoin programs.

BitGo boasted 5,833 clients as of June 30, up 26.2% year-on-year and 4.7% higher than Q1. Its user growth was more restrained, rising 6.1% year-on-year and 1.3% sequentially to 1.2 million.

BitGo has been doing its best to keep costs down, including a 15% reduction in its workforce last month. BitGo CEO Mike Belshe claimed, “the ecosystem has evolved, and the way we build financial services has changed dramatically.” Making BitGo “more deliberate than it is today” involves focusing on “the areas that matter most: security, trading, stablecoins, settlement, and AI-powered infrastructure.”

On the earnings call, Belshe said his company was “poised pretty well” to weather increased custodial competition as regulatory ‘clarity’ dawns. BitGo offers “not just the custody components, but the full stack around it,” and new market entrants will “have to kind of build all of those things.”

That said, Belshe acknowledged that part of BitGo’s historic appeal has been its national trust bank charter from the U.S. Treasury Department’s Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC). And with the OCC’s new leadership now issuing national charters like they’re going out of style—including to some of BitGo’s stablecoin-issuing custodial clients—that aspect of BitGo’s appeal could diminish.

The GENIUS Act, passed by Congress last year, prohibits stablecoin issuers from offering ‘yield’ to customers. One of the major sticking points preventing the CLARITY Act from advancing is whether non-issuing platforms like Coinbase can offer their customers ‘rewards’ for engaging in certain stablecoin activities.

Belshe said he thinks the ban on issuers offering yield is “wrong.” The U.S. “should” allow offering yield to retail token holders, and Belshe believes “we are going to see some more technical innovations from BitGo, probably from others too, which make it ever increasingly easy to build a stablecoin that is your own, that you can then claim the rewards on, as the issuer of it. That is going to lead, at least for some period of time, to a continued proliferation of new stablecoins. We will see how it plays out.”

On August 1, Belshe issued a public challenge to artificial intelligence (AI) developer Anthropic in response to the latter’s claims regarding its Claude model’s purported capacity to break out of its cage and gain unauthorized access to external systems. Dismissing Anthropic’s claims as “marketing,” Belshe provided a BitGo wallet address containing 100 BTC and dared Claude to “go get it.”

On the earnings call, Belshe was asked how many BTC the wallet still contained. “We still have all the Bitcoin … I think it is very safe. We have not had any significant threat.” Belshe said BitGo “always keep our guard up, and we have to continue to work on it. But so far, there has been no negative outcome for BitGo as a result of that challenge. I think we will win.”

Investors appear suitably impressed, as BitGo’s share price closed Thursday up 10.8% to $5.53. However, the shares are down 57% for the year-to-date.

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BitGo v Galaxy: it ain’t over till it’s over

In case you missed it, BitGo is still embroiled in a legal fight with digital asset infrastructure firm Galaxy Digital (NASDAQ: GLXY) over Galaxy’s aborted $1.2 billion acquisition of BitGo in 2022. Before the deal was cold, BitGo management was already insisting that Galaxy boss Mike Novogratz had violated the terms of the acquisition agreement and insisted BitGo was owed a $100 million breakup fee

BitGo’s claim was initially dismissed in 2023 after a Delaware Chancery Court judge ruled that the financial documentation BitGo provided to Galaxy wasn’t up to scratch. That ruling was overturned in 2024 by the Delaware Supreme Court and returned to the lower courts, where it continues to rage to this day.

In May, Belshe and Novogratz each took the stand to offer their competing views of the breakup. Bloomberg quoted Novogratz saying “the entire time, I was pushing to get this deal done,” but Gary Gensler, then-head of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), was making this “very difficult.”

The crypto-skeptical Gensler was allegedly thwarting the combined entities’ goal of listing on the Nasdaq exchange (a condition of the acquisition agreement). New SEC accounting rules also caused problems, and Galaxy’s announcement of the deal’s demise pinned the blame on BitGo’s alleged failure to produce satisfactory documentation in a timely manner.

Belshe testified that “Galaxy telling the world we can’t pass an audit” was “incredibly damaging to BitGo’s reputation.” Belshe also accused Galaxy of withholding “critical information” regarding law enforcement inquiries into Galaxy’s role in the 2022 collapse of Terraform Labs, issuer of the Luna token. (Novogratz has a Luna tattoo, and Galaxy reached a $200 million settlement with the New York Attorney General’s office in 2025 for its role in the Terraform debacle.)

There’s still no word on when Delaware Chancellor Kathaleen St. J. McCormick might issue her verdict in this civil brouhaha. Should BitGo emerge triumphant, the company could seek additional damages in addition to the $100 million penalty it claims Galaxy is already on the hook for.

Speaking of Galaxy, the company reported a net loss of $85 million in its Q2 report, an improvement from Q1’s $216 million loss, with most of that red ink attributed to declines in the value of the company’s BTC treasury (6,894 tokens, 18th largest). Hopefully, there’s still something left in the kitty should Judge McCormick look unfavorably on Novogratz’s ‘it wasn’t me’ defense.

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Steven Stradbrooke is a ‘self-taught’ writer who learned his craft from every book, newspaper, magazine, newsletter, snarky blog post and bathroom wall poem he ever read. Formerly the senior writer for 11 years at the CalvinAyre.com gambling industry news site, Steven wrote his first Bitcoin-focused article in 2011 and began contributing to CoinGeek in 2017. He joined CoinGeek full-time in 2021.

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