Analysis: Bitcoin Volatility May Rise as ADX Falls to Two-Year Low

Bitcoin’s volatility may be poised to increase soon, according to a market analysis, as the average directional index, or ADX, has fallen to its lowest level in more than two years. The drop suggests the prolonged period of range-bound…

bloomingbit

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Aug 14, 2026 at 7:44 AM UTC · 1 min de lectura

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Digital-asset analyst Darkfost said Bitcoin (BTC) volatility could increase soon.
He said the average directional index (ADX) has fallen to its lowest level in more than two years, signaling that the prolonged sideways market may be nearing an end.
He added that Bitcoin has spent a long time trading within its current price range, increasing the odds it will soon choose a direction, and that its next move should be watched closely.

Forecast Trend Report by Period

On Aug. 14, digital-asset analyst Darkfost wrote on X, formerly Twitter, that Bitcoin’s ADX had reached its lowest level in more than two years. He said that was another indicator that volatility could expand again soon.

ADX measures the strength of a trend rather than the direction of price moves. A low reading indicates the market has been trading sideways without a clear trend.

Darkfost said Bitcoin has already spent a considerable amount of time trading within its current price range. That, he wrote, increases the chances the cryptocurrency will soon move decisively in one direction.

He added that multiple indicators are pointing to the same conclusion. After months of subdued market activity, he said, investors should watch Bitcoin’s next move closely.

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Originally reported by bloomingbit

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