Will Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP Prices Rally if the CLARITY Act Passes on September 15?

Washington is sending mixed signals on the CLARITY Act just over a day before its make-or-break Senate vote, and the disagreement itself is becoming part of the story.

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Sep 14, 2026 at 4:31 AM UTC · Updated hace una hora · 4 min de lectura

Will Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP Prices Rally if the CLARITY Act Passes on September 15? — Image via Coinpedia

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Washington is sending mixed signals on the CLARITY Act just over a day before its make-or-break Senate vote, and the disagreement itself is becoming part of the story.

Two Conflicting Reports

Claim	Source	Details
“Clarity is dead”	Renato Mariotti, former federal prosecutor	Says multiple members of Congress and staff told him this directly in DC
Bill is on track	Faryar Shirzad, Coinbase Chief Policy Officer	Feels “pretty good” about odds; cites bipartisan momentum
Still very much alive	Kristin Smith, Solana Policy Institute	Says push is on for a September vote; most police associations now neutral or supportive

Why Some Say It’s Not Dead

Bipartisan House support: Every Republican plus roughly 80 Democrats backed the House version
250 pages of Democratic priorities folded into the Senate draft
White House–Senate Democrat deal: First-ever Democratic nominees to SEC and CFTC under Trump
New ethics package: Restricts the president’s own crypto dealings, a historic first
White House meeting: Ripple’s Brad Garlinghouse, Coinbase’s Brian Armstrong, and Chainlink’s CEO met directly with Trump, the SEC chair, and CFTC chair to work through sticking points

The Vote Mechanics That Matter

Scenario	What Happens Next
Bill clears 60 votes on Sept 15 procedural vote	Momentum expected to carry it to final passage
Bill fails to reach 60 votes	Murky outcome; possible emergency talks, or the bill could stall entirely

Why Legislation Matters More Than Agency Rules

Congressman French Hill argues relying on SEC or CFTC rulemaking instead of a real law is risky:

Agency rules can be challenged in court for years
Opponents of crypto regulation are expected to fund legal challenges
A law is far harder to unwind than a regulatory exemption

What CLARITY Actually Changes for Each Asset

Asset	Current Status	What CLARITY Would Do
Bitcoin	Generally treated as a commodity; CFTC oversight limited to fraud/manipulation	Gives CFTC direct regulatory power over Bitcoin trading platforms
Ethereum	Regulatory status has long been ambiguous	Creates a formal pathway: fundraising under SEC, later trading potentially under CFTC if sufficiently decentralized
XRP	Same ambiguity as Ethereum, further complicated by past SEC litigation	Same dual-track framework, offering a defined route out of securities classification over time

What Happens If CLARITY Dies

Crypto does not become unregulated
Existing law, courts, and individual states continue enforcing rules as they do today
Legal boundaries stay reactive, often only clarified after enforcement actions or disputes
Industry voices argue this uncertainty keeps pushing innovation and capital offshore

Market Context

XRP

$1.39

+1.84% (24H)