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[Analysis] Bitcoin Faces Spot Selling Pressure Around $81,000 as U.S. Jobs Data, Long-Term Yields Set Direction

Bitcoin's leverage overhang has eased, but spot selling around $81,000 is still limiting further gains, QCP Capital said. The cryptocurrency's next move will likely be driven by U.S. employment data and the direction of long-term…

bloomingbit

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Sep 4, 2026 at 11:14 AM UTC · 2 min de lecture

[Analysis] Bitcoin Faces Spot Selling Pressure Around $81,000 as U.S. Jobs Data, Long-Term Yields Set Direction
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$730.9M Sept. 3 ETF inflows

Entities

bitcoin

Market Impact

BTC+0.18%$79,800

Last Updated

il y a 2 jours

  • QCP Capital said Bitcoin's further upside is being capped by spot selling pressure near $81,000.
  • It said that despite heavy net inflows into U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs, sell orders near recent highs prevented Bitcoin from closing at a higher level.
  • QCP Capital said Bitcoin's next directional move will depend on the U.S. August jobs report and long-term Treasury yields, especially the 30-year yield.

Forecast Trend Report by Period

Bitcoin's leverage overhang has eased, but spot selling around $81,000 is still limiting further gains, QCP Capital said. The cryptocurrency's next move will likely be driven by U.S. employment data and the direction of long-term Treasury yields.

In a market report released on Sept. 4, the digital-asset trading firm said Bitcoin's main constraint is no longer excessive long leverage but spot selling clustered near $81,000. Bitcoin traded in a range of about $76,700 to $81,500 this week, with two rallies rejected in the $81,000 to $86,000 zone.

Leverage in the futures market remains relatively subdued. Bitcoin futures open interest is hovering near a five-month low, while open interest backed by crypto collateral accounts for only about 11% of the total. Funding rates have also remained below 10% on an annualized basis.

Market Context

Bitcoin

BTC

$79,800

+0.18% (24H)

Market Cap

$1.60T

Circulating Supply

20.1M BTC

24H Volume

$19.8B

24H High

$80,207

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