Bitcoin Power Law 2026–2030: When Will BTC Permanently Clear $100,000?

Bitcoin BTCUSD today is down by 2.16% to trade at about $77,000 following extensive bond sell-offs, a hawkish Fed note, and renewed hostilities in the Middle East. While $80K remains a crucial ceiling to clear on the road to $90K, the question of when Bitcoin will permanently cross the six-figure line also lingers.

Bitcoin at $100,000K: when does it happen?

According to Giovanni Santostasi’s Bitcoin Power Law Theory, the asset is trading at roughly 56.7% below its fair value of $178,860. This is essentially the midline between the current resistance ceiling/cycle peak of $553,000 and a support line/absolute bottom of $63,460.

Source: Bitbo

Historically, Bitcoin trading at 0-10% above the lower resistance has signaled an optimal buying zone. Even more, the Power Law predicts that Bitcoin will cross the $100,000 support line for good after 2028.

Predictions for 2026-2030

Per the Power Law model, here are the projections for BTC price at the end of 2026 through 2030.

End of 2026: support line at $69,500, fair value at $198,700, and resistance ceiling at $615,000.

End of 2027: support line at $95,400, fair value at $272,500, and resistance ceiling at $844,000.

End of 2029: support line at $171,300, fair value at $489,500, and resistance ceiling at $1,515,000.