Bitwise Raises Bitcoin Price Target To $1.6 Million
Bitwise estimates that bitcoin could reach 1.6 million dollars by 2036, with an annualized return of 34.3%. Behind this spectacular target, the scenario depends less on institutional purchases than on BTC’s ability to capture a much…
Cointribune
Publisher
Oct 29, 2026 at 7:35 AM UTC · 4 min de lecture
Key Signal
$83,557 Bitcoin value at date
Entities
bitcoin
Market Impact
BTC+0.83%$77,661
Last Updated
il y a 3 jours
Traduction…
Summarize this article with:
Bitwise estimates that bitcoin could reach 1.6 million dollars by 2036, with an annualized return of 34.3%. Behind this spectacular target, the scenario depends less on institutional purchases than on BTC’s ability to capture a much larger share of the global value reserve market.
In Brief
- Bitwise forecasts Bitcoin at 1.6 million dollars in 2036, with an annualized return of 34.3%.
- This projection mainly relies on capturing 25% of the global value reserve market, particularly against gold.
- Institutional investments would contribute to this rise but would not be sufficient on their own to reach this target.
- Despite expected lower volatility, regulatory and technological risks could slow this progress.
- In its pessimistic scenario, Bitwise estimates Bitcoin might be worth only 130,686 dollars by 2036.
The 1.6 Million Dollar Mark Mainly Depends on a Transfer from Gold
Bitwise raises its previous target of 1.3 million dollars set for 2035. The manager now starts from a bitcoin valued at 83,557 dollars as of September 30, 2026, applying an average annual growth rate of 34.3% over ten years.
This projection does not rely on profits or cash flows, since bitcoin does not generate any. Bitwise rather estimates the future size of several markets in which BTC could take shares, before converting the resulting value into price per unit.
Market Context
Bitcoin
BTC
$77,661
+0.83% (24H)
Market Cap
$1.56T
Circulating Supply
20.1M BTC
24H Volume
$35.9B
24H High
$77,743
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