XRP Price Prediction: What Happens To $1.11 When ETF Flows Hit A Monthly Low?

Analysts See XRP Fund Demand Fading

Set against the full month, the week reads less like a surge in institutional demand than a last gasp of it. XRP funds have absorbed roughly $12.4 million in July, their weakest month since April, analyst Sam Daodu calculated. The same products took in $131.94 million in May and another $59.46 million in June, a stretch when Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) funds were shedding billions.

Investors who bought in through those funds are collectively down about a third, an unusual position for products barely eight months old. Contributions since the November 2025 launch total $1.49 billion, while the products hold $997 million today.

The charts offer little relief. XRP has slipped below its 50-day exponential moving average, and its RSI has fallen under the neutral 50 mark.

Analyst Crispus Nyaga reads that combination as a signal pointing toward a bearish breakout, with $1 the next level of consequence below.

XRP Price Stays Inside Its Channel

XRP traded near $1.10 on Monday after touching about $1.16 earlier in the week, which left most of the recent recovery undone.

The token remains inside a broad descending channel, with $1.18 marking first resistance, $1.28 capping the wider move and the $1.02 to $1.04 band holding as the floor buyers defended earlier this month.

The current lull follows a considerably stronger run. XRP funds recorded net inflows for nine straight weeks through late June, absorbing capital even as the spot price kept sliding toward $1. That streak snapped in the week of Jul. 6, when investors pulled $7.18 million out of the products, almost all of it from a single fund.

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Mehjabeen Arsiwala is a journalist covering crypto news, DeFi, exchanges, trading, and market analysis. Over the past three years, she has focused on the trends and narratives shaping digital asset markets, from price action and forecasts to exchange developments and on-chain signals. She specializes in clear reporting that helps readers understand what is happening in the market and why it matters.