Bitcoin price prediction: difficulty to fall 7.5 percent

Bitcoin is trading at around $73,470, or roughly €66,250, on Thursday morning, November 12, 2026. What is new today is not a price level but a figure from the network itself: mining difficulty is expected to fall by around 7.5 percent at the next adjustment. That is what the mempool.space calculator shows for block 975,744, which at the current pace will be reached late on Friday evening. It would be the steepest drop since mid-June.

What is established: since the start of November fewer machines have been mining bitcoin, revenue per unit of computing power is close to its low for the year, and blocks are arriving more slowly than intended. Our assessment follows further down: the relief for miners takes selling pressure off the market, but it does not replace buyers. Where the price could head over the coming months is covered in our Bitcoin price prediction.

Bitcoin mining difficulty to fall: a 7.5 percent drop expected on Friday evening

Mining difficulty determines how much computational work a miner has to do to find a new block. The protocol adjusts it every 2,016 blocks so that on average one block is produced every ten minutes. When fewer machines are mining, blocks slow down and difficulty falls at the next adjustment. When more machines join, it rises.