Forget the daily noise for a moment and look at the supply side. Gemini AI predicts a compounding shock from the fourth halving carries Bitcoin from $65,100 upward, and the price prediction lands at $150,000 to $180,000 by the close of 2026.

That halving effect sits at the center of the argument. Issuance keeps shrinking while demand channels multiply around it.

Institutional spot ETF inflows are accelerating alongside it. Corporate treasury adoption adds a second buyer category that does not sell easily.

Global monetary easing cycles supply the macro backdrop. Cheaper money historically flows into scarce assets first.

Growing legislative support for strategic sovereign reserves completes the picture. Gemini treats the combination as a structural supply and demand imbalance rather than a trade.

The downside is described as slight. Prolonged high interest rates would delay every part of the easing thesis.

Macro recession risks form the second concern. Unexpected regulatory pushback is the third.

Any of those could pull price back to test strong support near $48,000 to $52,000. Gemini still frames that as temporary and favors high-conviction expansion to new all-time highs.

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Bitcoin Price Prediction: Scarcity Math Versus A Chart That Has Gone Nowhere

The daily view shows a market well past its peak. Bitcoin traded near $126,000 in October before the trend broke. November started the decline toward $88,000. February brought the sharpest leg, cutting price from $92,000 to roughly $59,000.

Spring staged a real recovery to about $84,000 by May. June reversed it completely, returning Bitcoin near $57,000. July and August have been quieter. Price has built a slow grind higher with a steady sequence of higher lows.

The close reads $65,042, up 0.29% and $185 on the day. The session traded between $64,780 and $65,333.

Support sits at $62,000 first, then $57,000 at the June low. Resistance stacks at $68,000, $72,000 and $80,000. RSI reads 55.37 against a signal line at 50.45. That gap of roughly 5 points leans bullish, showing buyers with a modest advantage.

Both lines sit above the midline now. Momentum has improved without becoming stretched.

Gemini is describing a supply squeeze the chart has not priced. A push through $68,000 would be the first sign the market is starting to agree.

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Reading the chart is free. Backing the call costs something, which is exactly why the odds on Kalshi tend to move before the headlines do.

It’s a CFTC-regulated exchange for event contracts: the Fed, inflation, crypto price levels, resolved against a defined source. Being right on a slow timeline still loses if the contract expires first, so mind the dates.

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