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How perpetual futures took off (and where they're going)

a16z crypto examines how perpetual futures became a major crypto trading product and considers their future direction. The article focuses on the evolution and potential trajectory of these derivatives markets.

a16z crypto

Publisher

Sep 3, 2026 at 11:20 PM UTC · Updated há 3 dias · 9 min de leitura

How perpetual futures took off (and where they're going)
Image via a16z crypto

Key Signal

$86.2T CEX perp volume

Market Impact

BTC-0.28%$79,507

Last Updated

há 3 dias

Traduzindo…

Pontos-Chave

  • Perpetual futures are the central subject of the article.
  • The piece explores how perpetual futures gained popularity in crypto markets.
  • It also looks ahead at where the product category may be heading.

Perpetual futures (“perps”) are futures contracts that never expire. Once a crypto-native hack, they took off onchain in 2025. They’ve become one of crypto’s biggest markets, covering traditional assets and trillions of dollars in trading volume. 

Last year, the top centralized exchanges cleared $86.2T in perp volume (+47% YoY), while onchain perpetuals grew even faster: Leading decentralized exchanges reached $6.7T (+346% YoY). DEX volume now represents roughly 7.8% of CEX volume, up from about 2.5% just a year earlier. [Note: while a small number of U.S.-regulated centralized platforms offer products similar to perpetual futures contracts to U.S. persons, all centralized and decentralized exchanges restrict U.S. persons’ access to true perpetual futures contracts.]

But the bigger story here is that perps are starting to look less like a fringe crypto primitive, and more like a fundamental shift in trading behaviors and market structure.  

So what is driving perps’s popularity? And why now? This post looks at why perps are increasingly embraced by traders globally, the scale of the market opportunity, and where builders see opportunity.

A brief history and evolution of perps

The idea itself is actually older than the crypto industry. Perps have existed in theory since 1993, when Nobel Prize-winning economist Robert Shiller introduced the perpetual futures contract, which he originally envisioned as a tool for hedging property-value risks. But perps weren’t popularized in crypto until 2016 with the rise of BitMEX and XBTUSD, the longest-running bitcoin perpetual swap.

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