Bitcoin’s Biggest Week of 2026 Is Here: Fed and CLARITY Vote Take Center Stage

Bitcoin investors are approaching what is likely to become the crypto industry's most important week so far this year.

Although there are several major economic events taking place in the following five business days, the reality is that only a handful of them could (and most likely will) impact the cryptocurrency market. That impact, though, is expected to be quite vicious in either direction.

The Kobeissi Letter highlighted an auction of 20-year securities, August retail sales, and, most importantly, the Federal Reserve’s September interest rate decision on Wednesday. The latest data shows that markets assign an 85%-90% probability that the central bank will hike rates by 25 basis points, following contrasting economic data.

Fed in Focus

The Fed setup has changed dramatically in just a few weeks, starting with the August employment data from early September, which showed that the US economy had added 162,000 jobs last month, triple expectations. Later on, the PPI numbers indicated that the annual producer inflation had accelerated to 5.4%. Last Friday’s CPI report subsequently confirmed headline inflation at 3.4%, with monthly core CPI slightly hotter than expected.