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“The Cycle Has Turned”: Bitcoin Faces a Decisive Month as It Holds Above $81,000

Bitcoin has extended its gains and established a foothold above $81,000, with on-chain indicators pointing to the start of a bullish cycle. The cryptocurrency’s next move may be determined by policy events scheduled for mid-September.

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Sep 4, 2026 at 9:29 AM UTC · 3 dk okuma

“The Cycle Has Turned”: Bitcoin Faces a Decisive Month as It Holds Above $81,000
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bitcoin

Market Impact

BTC-1.76%$79,621

Last Updated

8 saat önce

  • Bitcoin price has stabilized above $81,000, while on-chain indicators suggest it is entering a bullish cycle.
  • The rebound in the short-term holder STH SOPR indicator, the Crypto Fear & Greed Index staying in Greed territory, and Bitcoin’s historical average fourth-quarter return of 77.07% are raising expectations of a bullish turn.
  • A Clarity Act vote on September 15 and the FOMC rate decision on September 16 are emerging as the key variables that will determine whether Bitcoin’s rally can continue.

Forecast Trend Report by Period

Bitcoin has extended its gains and established a foothold above $81,000, with on-chain indicators pointing to the start of a bullish cycle. The cryptocurrency’s next move may be determined by policy events scheduled for mid-September.

According to CoinMarketCap data on September 4, Bitcoin began climbing at about 8 p.m. on September 3 and briefly rose above $82,000. It was the first time the token traded above $82,000 since mid-May, roughly four months ago. Bitcoin is now trading in the low $81,000 range.

The advance came as U.S. Treasury yields eased and senior Federal Reserve officials delivered dovish remarks. Fed Governor Christopher Waller indicated support for leaving rates unchanged at the September Federal Open Market Committee meeting if August inflation data confirms that price pressures are cooling.

Market Context

Bitcoin

BTC

$79,600

-1.79% (24H)

Market Cap

$1.60T

24H Volume

$36.6B

24H High

$82,288

View Bitcoin Market Page

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