Avalanche Is Up 29% This Month but Back Under $10. Can It Keep Beating Ethereum?

Avalanche just crushed Ethereum over the past month, but the rally already shows cracks. Whether AVAX can hold its ground depends on a few critical signals playing out right now.

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Avalanche (CRYPTO:AVAX) has gained 29.1% over the past month. In contrast, Ethereum (CRYPTO:ETH), which competes with Avalanche for developers, users, and investor interest, has fallen by 4.1%. This puts AVAX well ahead in the Avalanche vs Ethereum comparison.

However, this advantage might not last. On October 15, 2026, AVAX dropped 5.9% to $9.62, falling back below $10. Over the past week, it has fallen 10%, while Ethereum has dropped 6.8%. So, which timeframe is more telling about AVAX’s future—this past month or the past week?

AVAX’s Monthly Gain and Weekly Loss Both Point to Its Smaller Size

Over the last 30 days, AVAX’s impressive 29.1% gain contrasts sharply with Ethereum’s 4.1% loss. However, on a weekly basis, AVAX trails with a 10% drop versus Ethereum’s 6.8% decline.

These results can largely be attributed to AVAX’s smaller size in the market. Smaller cryptocurrencies tend to rise faster than larger ones when demand spikes, but they also fall faster when selling starts. Additionally, because AVAX has lower liquidity, less money is in the market to absorb large trades.