Ethereum price prediction: the October record

Ether began October 2026 without direction and costs around $2,690 on Sunday morning, October 4 (according to CoinGecko), almost exactly what it cost at the start of the month. For the Ethereum price prediction the question is whether October lives up to its reputation. We evaluated the monthly candles from Binance since 2018, and for Ether the result comes out more mixed than it does for Bitcoin.

Ethereum’s October record since 2018

Five of eight Octobers ended higher for Ether. The standout was 2021 at plus 42.9 percent, followed by 2022 at plus 18.4 percent, 2023 at plus 8.6 percent, 2020 at plus 7.4 percent and 2019 at plus 0.7 percent. The years that ended lower were 2018 at minus 14.7 percent, 2024 at minus 3.2 percent and 2025 at minus 7.2 percent (monthly Binance candles against USDT, October 1 to 31).

The order stands out: the two most recent Octobers both ended lower. Bitcoin, by contrast, has closed six of eight Octobers higher since 2018, as our October record for Bitcoin shows. The month owes its reputation above all to Bitcoin.

What is coming up for Ether in October 2026

On October 6 the Sepolia testnet moves to the next network version. Nothing changes for Ether on the main network that day, and according to the Ethereum Foundation a date for the main network has not yet been set, as we explained in our article on the Sepolia fork. A smooth test run is still the precondition for that main-network date moving closer.