Washington is sending mixed signals on the CLARITY Act just over a day before its make-or-break Senate vote, and the disagreement itself is becoming part of the story.
Will Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP Prices Rally if the CLARITY Act Passes on September 15?
Washington is sending mixed signals on the CLARITY Act just over a day before its make-or-break Senate vote, and the disagreement itself is becoming part of the story.
Coinpedia
Publisher
Sep 14, 2026 at 4:31 AM UTC · Updated 3 ngày trước · 4 phút đọc
Entities
bitcoin, ethereum, xrp
Last Updated
3 ngày trước
Đang dịch…
Two Conflicting Reports
| Claim | Source | Details |
| “Clarity is dead” | Renato Mariotti, former federal prosecutor | Says multiple members of Congress and staff told him this directly in DC |
| Bill is on track | Faryar Shirzad, Coinbase Chief Policy Officer | Feels “pretty good” about odds; cites bipartisan momentum |
| Still very much alive | Kristin Smith, Solana Policy Institute | Says push is on for a September vote; most police associations now neutral or supportive |
Why Some Say It’s Not Dead
- Bipartisan House support: Every Republican plus roughly 80 Democrats backed the House version
- 250 pages of Democratic priorities folded into the Senate draft
- White House–Senate Democrat deal: First-ever Democratic nominees to SEC and CFTC under Trump
- New ethics package: Restricts the president’s own crypto dealings, a historic first
- White House meeting: Ripple’s Brad Garlinghouse, Coinbase’s Brian Armstrong, and Chainlink’s CEO met directly with Trump, the SEC chair, and CFTC chair to work through sticking points
The Vote Mechanics That Matter
| Scenario | What Happens Next |
| Bill clears 60 votes on Sept 15 procedural vote | Momentum expected to carry it to final passage |
| Bill fails to reach 60 votes | Murky outcome; possible emergency talks, or the bill could stall entirely |
Why Legislation Matters More Than Agency Rules
Congressman French Hill argues relying on SEC or CFTC rulemaking instead of a real law is risky:
- Agency rules can be challenged in court for years
- Opponents of crypto regulation are expected to fund legal challenges
- A law is far harder to unwind than a regulatory exemption
What CLARITY Actually Changes for Each Asset
| Asset | Current Status | What CLARITY Would Do |
| Bitcoin | Generally treated as a commodity; CFTC oversight limited to fraud/manipulation | Gives CFTC direct regulatory power over Bitcoin trading platforms |
| Ethereum | Regulatory status has long been ambiguous | Creates a formal pathway: fundraising under SEC, later trading potentially under CFTC if sufficiently decentralized |
| XRP | Same ambiguity as Ethereum, further complicated by past SEC litigation | Same dual-track framework, offering a defined route out of securities classification over time |
What Happens If CLARITY Dies
- Crypto does not become unregulated
- Existing law, courts, and individual states continue enforcing rules as they do today
- Legal boundaries stay reactive, often only clarified after enforcement actions or disputes
- Industry voices argue this uncertainty keeps pushing innovation and capital offshore
Market Context
Article Intelligence
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