Bitcoin 已跌至 Rainbow Chart 模型的最低估值区域，该模型基于长期价格趋势。其经波动率调整后的 Z-score 也已跌至过去 10 年来的最低水平。
比特币全新“彩虹”指标或正预示价格走势
比特币全新“彩虹”指标或正预示价格走势 Cryptonews.net
Cryptonews.net
Publisher
Aug 15, 2026 at 8:09 PM UTC · Updated 8 天前 · 1 分钟阅读
Key Signal
-2.293 Volatility-adjusted Z-score
Entities
bitcoin
Market Impact
BTC+0.78%$77,584
Last Updated
8 天前
CryptoQuant 分析师 Axel Adler Jr. 表示，Bitcoin 正在 Rainbow Chart 模式中被描述为“恐慌抛售价格”的区域进行交易。根据该分析师的说法，与该模式的长期价格轨迹相比，当前价格显示出极端的折价。
Rainbow Chart 不仅仅衡量 Bitcoin 价格的下跌。该模型将当前价格与长期历史趋势进行比较，显示了市场偏离该趋势的程度。
根据数据，经波动率调整后的 Z-Score 降至 -2.293。这一水平是自 2016 年以来该指标记录的最低值。该指标在 2022 年熊市底部时为 -1.979。
Bitcoin moved from $64,312.9 to $77,583.6 over the last 30-day period, a gain of 20.6 percent.
Source: Kraken · NewsLayer Markets · Updated 几秒前
该指标考虑了不同市场周期的波动率变化。根据分析师的说法，它表明 Bitcoin 目前的下行背离已超过了前一次熊市底部的水平。
然而，极低的估值并不能确定最终的底部已经达到。虽然目前的景况指向模型中一个潜在的有吸引力的价格范围，但在断言市场已经逆转方向之前，还需要其他指标的确认。
*这不构成投资建议。
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Originally reported by Cryptonews.net
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Market Context
Bitcoin
BTC
$77,582
+0.78% (24H)
Market Cap
$1.55T
24H Volume
$24.0B
24H High
$77,787
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