Bitcoin holds bullish as Altcoin dip risk builds

My September 29, 2026 read keeps the bullish BTC trend separate from conditional altcoin downside and reversal warnings.

Bitcoin remains bullish while two pullback paths stay open

Bitcoin / TetherUS · 1D · Binance

BTC remains strong bullish above the daily TBO Cloud. The Slow line is still rising, though less sharply, and I expect a touch of the Fast line to produce the next bounce, as it did three weeks ago. If that bounce does not arrive and the real dip begins, my lower fallback is around $70,000 at the Slow line, shown at $70,808 in this chart snapshot. That fallback is conditional, not my base-case prediction. Monday also showed the asymmetry: BTC closed down 1.15% while many ALTs fell more than 10%. My statement that another 15% BTC drop could cause ALTs to fall as much as 40% is a conditional stress scenario, not a forecast.

Stablecoin dominance points to a short bounce inside a bearish macro trend

USDT.D+USDC.D · 1D · CRYPTOCAP

Combined stablecoin dominance is showing signs of bouncing toward its Fast line at 9.353%, only about 2% above the current level on this chart. I am treating that as a short-term move, not a macro reversal. The Slow line points down more sharply than it did three weeks earlier, so the macro trend remains bearish. Dominance is market share, not stablecoin spot price.