Bitcoin Price Prediction: $100,000 Despite ETF Outflows?

Bitcoin traded at around $83,100 at midday on Friday, October 9, 2026 (CoinMarketCap). On Thursday the price had slipped as far as $80,337, its lowest level since mid-September. Standard Chartered, the British bank, is nonetheless sticking to its year-end target of $100,000. For the Bitcoin price prediction that leaves a gap of some 20 percent to close by December 31, with ETF investors currently withdrawing money rather than adding to their positions.

$729 million out in two days

US spot bitcoin ETFs lost a net $484.9 million on Wednesday, October 7, and a further $244.1 million on Thursday, according to daily data from Farside Investors. BlackRock’s iShares fund alone saw $207.7 million pulled on Wednesday; on Thursday the largest single outflow was the $197.1 million that left Fidelity’s fund. October therefore stands at roughly $407 million of net outflows after six trading days, following the $2.65 billion of inflows September had delivered.

We set out why the price dropped below $81,000 on Thursday in our report on the crypto crash. The reasons behind that first large day of outflows are covered in our analysis of the ETF withdrawals.

Standard Chartered: $100,000 by year-end

Geoffrey Kendrick, head of digital assets at Standard Chartered, confirmed his year-end target of $100,000 at the end of September, Yahoo Finance reported. The figure is already the product of two cuts: for the end of 2025 Kendrick had called for $200,000. Bitcoin missed each of his year-end targets for 2023, 2024 and 2025.