Bitcoin Price Prediction: $2.65 Billion ETF Inflow in Sept

Bitcoin trades at around $84,500 late on Friday evening, 2 October 2026 (CoinMarketCap). That is almost exactly where it stood ten days ago, even though a great deal of money has moved into Bitcoin in the meantime: the US spot ETFs took in $2.65 billion in September, and October is opening with inflows too. For the Bitcoin price prediction that is the contradiction now to be resolved: why is the price not rising when the funds are buying?

What the ETF figures show

September’s net inflows of $2.65 billion are the second-highest monthly figure since October 2025; in August it was $3.52 billion, The Block reports using data from SoSoValue. A further $102.7 million arrived on 1 October, after the last day of September had brought outflows of $148.7 million. Together the funds hold Bitcoin worth around $109.3 billion (Cointelegraph).

In the third quarter that paid off. From 30 June to 30 September, Bitcoin rose from $58,566 to $83,576, a gain of almost 43 percent (daily closing prices, CoinMarketCap). Since 21 September, by contrast, the price has barely moved.

Bitcoin price prediction: the levels on the chart

The one-year chart shows both: the deep slump after the record of October 2025 and the recovery since the summer. The highest daily close of the past twelve months was around $124,700, the low around $58,600. Today Bitcoin sits well above its 50-day average (around $78,300) and its 200-day average (around $75,300), both calculated by us from the daily closing prices.