Can Bitcoin’s price finally reverse the curse of September in 2026?

With just 3 days to go before September starts, there is a different kind of fear in the crypto market. Though August saw Bitcoin’s rally breaking its long-standing resistance level, the coming month is already igniting FUD (fear, uncertainty, and doubt).

Will September 2026 be different for Bitcoin?

According to CryptoQuant, September could be a difficult month for both U.S stocks and Bitcoin [BTC] in 2026. However, investors should not assume that Bitcoin will automatically fall just because it is September.

This, because it is not necessary that historical seasonality mean September will be bearish every year.
For context, Bitcoin’s September weakness was particularly notable from 2017 through 2022, when BTC posted six consecutive negative September returns. However, the pattern weakened considerably afterwards, with positive September closes in 2023, 2024, and 2025.

In fact, with strong spot and ETF demand, there is hope that the September effect could once again fail to materialize in 2026. Just like Bitcoin, there is a historical tendency of U.S stocks to underperform in September.

In fact, over the last 50 years, the S&P 500 has averaged around -0.8% in September.

Are metrics in favor?