MSTR Stock Has Become One of the Market’s Most Unusual Bets

MicroStrategy abandoned its original software identity to become a leveraged Bitcoin holding company, and after a brutal 51% collapse over the past year, the question is whether that audacious bet is finally starting to pay off or setting up for…

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MicroStrategy (NASDAQ:MSTR | MSTR Price Prediction) has effectively turned itself into a leveraged Bitcoin (CRYPTO:BTC) holding vehicle. The stock now trades as a magnified proxy for Bitcoin, and after a punishing 12 months, the model sees room to run.

Our 24/7 Wall St. price target for MSTR is $260.67, implying 59.63% upside from $163.56. The recommendation is buy with moderate 50% confidence given the stock’s extreme sensitivity to Bitcoin.

24/7 Wall St. Price Target Summary

A Violent Round Trip on the Bitcoin Rollercoaster

MSTR has traveled a brutal path. Shares are down 51.31% over the past year, well below the $365.21 52-week high but off the $81.81 low. Momentum has flipped: the stock rallied 26.2% in a week and 37.16% in a month, tracking Bitcoin’s 13.59% one-week bounce to roughly $84,220.

Q2 FY26, reported July 30, 2026, showed EPS of -$24.45 against $3.07 consensus, revenue of $122.37M, and an $8.32B unrealized digital asset loss. Subscription services grew 54% YoY, convertible debt fell 18% to $6.7B, and BTC holdings climbed 11% to 846,000 BTC.