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[分析] 比特币长期持有者连续七周减持,但市场吸收了供应量

[分析] 比特币长期持有者连续七周减持,但市场吸收了供应量 bloomingbit

bloomingbit

Publisher

Oct 6, 2026 at 6:47 AM UTC · 1 分钟阅读

[分析] 比特币长期持有者连续七周减持,但市场吸收了供应量
Image via bloomingbit

Key Signal

-73,400 BTC LTH weekly holdings change

Entities

bitcoin

Market Impact

BTC+0.27%$83,200

Last Updated

5 天前

根据一项分析,Bitcoin 长期持有者已连续七周减持,但市场需求正在吸收供应并支撑价格上涨趋势。

加密货币分析师 Axel Adler Jr. 在 10 月 6 日的简报中写道,Bitcoin 长期持有者(LTH)持仓变化在 8 月 17 日转为负值后,已连续七周保持负增长。

截至 Sept. 28,长期持有者的持仓变化为 -73,400 BTC,较一周前的 -1,100 BTC 大幅恶化。尽管如此,当前的抛售压力仍远低于去年 November 记录的 -1.07 million BTC。

长期持有者也一直在继续获利了结。LTH SOPR 在 Sept. 21 升至 1.24,为 January 以来的最高水平,并在 Sept. 28 处于 1.18。这意味着当天移动的 Bitcoin 相对于其购买价格实现了约 18% 的平均利润。

Adler 写道,随着价格上涨,长期持有者正在减仓并锁定收益,但到目前为止,市场需求已经吸收了流入的供应。

他补充说,如果长期持有者的持仓下降规模再次扩大到数十万 BTC,而 Bitcoin 的价格上涨停滞或逆转,这可能表明市场正在难以吸收抛盘。

Why this matters

Sustained selling by Bitcoin long-term holders is a meaningful market-structure signal because this cohort can add substantial supply during rallies. Continued absorption could support the advance, while a larger holder outflow alongside stalled prices could suggest demand is weakening.

Follow the Story

  1. Oct 6[Analysis] Bitcoin Long-Term Holders Cut Holdings for Seven Straight Weeks, but Market Absorbs Supply
  2. Oct 11If You Had Bought Bitcoin at Every All-Time High, How Long Would It Have Taken to Break Even?
  3. Oct 11Bitcoin’s Price Prediction: Will Global M2 Point to $300,000?
  4. Oct 11Bitcoin Cash News: CME Futures Could Reignite BCH as Remittix Enters Its Final Launch Countdown
  1. Oct 6[Analysis] Bitcoin Long-Term Holders Cut Holdings for Seven Straight Weeks, but Market Absorbs Supply
  2. Oct 11If You Had Bought Bitcoin at Every All-Time High, How Long Would It Have Taken to Break Even?
  3. Oct 11Bitcoin’s Price Prediction: Will Global M2 Point to $300,000?
  4. Oct 11Bitcoin Cash News: CME Futures Could Reignite BCH as Remittix Enters Its Final Launch Countdown
#bitcoin#crypto#markets

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Originally reported by bloomingbit

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₿

Bitcoin

BTC

$83,186

+0.26% (24H)

$83,186$82,961$82,737
4 PM11 PM7 AM3 PM

Market Cap

$1.67T

24H Volume

$9.9B

24H High

$83,200

View Bitcoin Market Page

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