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External Reporting公開 1日前

CZ Warns Millionaires May Soon Be Unable to Afford a Single Bitcoin

Changpeng Zhao, more commonly known as CZ, has rekindled one of the old arguments that the Bitcoin community started about a decade ago – there comes a point where even millionaires might not be able to afford a single Bitcoin. His…

CZ Warns Millionaires May Soon Be Unable to Afford a Single Bitcoin
Publisher Bitcoin Foundation 12 分で読める
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Changpeng Zhao, more commonly known as CZ, has rekindled one of the old arguments that the Bitcoin community started about a decade ago – there comes a point where even millionaires might not be able to afford a single Bitcoin. His warning encapsulates the idea that Bitcoin’s supply is extremely limited but, at the same time, there are a growing number of affluent investors.

While the BTC▲$62,630.00 price forecast that CZ provided with his comment has little basis in reality, the scarcity premise he outlined is entirely logical. Bitcoin supply cannot grow beyond 21 million coins, but there are already more millionaires than there could ever be Bitcoins. It means that, at some point, demand for a single whole coin is bound to surpass the existing supply.

Read more: Bitcoin Holds Above $63K as LINK and HYPE Surge Ahead of Key Fed Week

What CZ Said About Bitcoin Scarcity

Contents

CZ Says Millionaires May Soon Struggle to Own 1 Bitcoin

CZ warned that demand for whole Bitcoin would eventually overcome its limited supply. His point was that there comes a point where even millennial millionaires will struggle to afford a single coin because there are only ever 21 million Bitcoins.

The CZ Bitcoin warning highlights the value of limited supply because it demonstrates that whole ownership of a scarce asset is inherently inflationary. It means that, at some point, demand for owning a whole Bitcoin will outweigh the existing supply.

Why the Comment Is Gaining Attention in 2026

CZ’s Bitcoin comment received increased attention in 2026 because the supply-demand dynamics of the asset pointed to a paradigm shift. At the time, the mined Bitcoin crossed the 20 million threshold, which means that there is less than a million left to be distributed over the next century.

The Bitcoin supply chart shows that the rate at which new Bitcoins enter the economy decreases exponentially. It implies that, from this point onward, significantly increasing the supply of Bitcoin requires selling from the existing wallet balances rather than relying on new issuance via mining.

Bitcoin Is Running Out of New Supply

How Much Bitcoin Has Been Mined So Far

As of August 2026, there are already more than 20.06 million BTC mined – over 95% of the maximum supply. The Bitcoin supply chart shows that the rate at which coins enter the economy is slowing down significantly. Less than a million Bitcoins remain to be mined over the next century.

How the 21 Million BTC Supply Cap Works

The Bitcoin supply chart demonstrates that the protocol is designed to reduce issuance by half every 210,000 blocks. Miner rewards are reduced through regular Bitcoin halving events that occur roughly every four years. The limited supply rule is absolute – no central authority can increase the maximum number of Bitcoins in circulation.

It means that, at some point in the future, Bitcoin scarcity will influence the supply-demand paradigm regardless of what institutional investors do.

When Will the Last Bitcoin Be Mined?

The last Bitcoin will be mined sometime in the year 2140. At that point, the number of new Bitcoins issued annually will decrease to near-zero. From that point onward, the entire Bitcoin supply will depend on how many coins large investors are willing to sell at any given time.

There Are More Millionaires Than Available Bitcoin

How Many Millionaires Are There Worldwide?

As of today, there are roughly 58 million millionaires around the world. The US alone has 23.6 million people with a net worth of $1 million or higher. Using a more conservative definition of a millionaire, it is evident that there are many more millionaires than there will ever be Bitcoins.

Why 1 BTC Per Millionaire Is Already Mathematically Impossible

Even if every single Bitcoin on the planet was distributed to millionaires, there would still not be enough for everyone to own a whole coin. The reason is simple – there can only be 21 million Bitcoins in circulation at any given time, but there are already 58 million millionaires on the planet.

Read More: Bitcoin Is Losing Its Grip on Crypto: Why Americans Are Looking Beyond BTC in 2026

What the Bitcoin-to-Millionaire Ratio Looks Like

Using the most optimistic supply figures and the broadest definition of net worth, there would still be fewer than 0.4 Bitcoins for every millionaire on the planet. A realistic analysis of the Bitcoin supply and net worth rankings would produce a much lower ratio.

MetricApproximate FigureWhy It Matters
Maximum Bitcoin supply21 million BTCHard protocol limit
Bitcoin already mined~20.06 million BTCMore than 95% of total supply
Bitcoin left to mine<1 million BTCNew supply is increasingly limited
Global U.S.-dollar millionaires~58 millionFar more people than whole Bitcoin
BTC per millionaire<0.4 BTC1 Bitcoin each is mathematically impossible
Effective available supplyBelow circulating supplyLost and dormant BTC reduce liquidity

Lost Bitcoin Makes BTC Even Scarcer

How Much Bitcoin May Be Permanently Lost?

There is no way to estimate how much Bitcoin has been lost for good. Lost coins are effectively removed from circulation, meaning that the supply shrinkage occurs faster than expected. The amount of lost Bitcoin may be measured in millions of coins.

Forgotten Wallets and Lost Private Keys

One of the problems with using custodial wallets is that users can forget their seed phrases. It means that the coins in such wallets cannot return to circulation unless somebody can guess the private key.

The inability to spend locked coins reduces the overall Bitcoin supply because those coins become effectively lost forever.

Why Circulating Supply Is Not the Same as Available Supply

Bitcoin circulating supply is the number of coins in circulation. Available supply represents the amount of Bitcoin that investors are willing to sell at any given moment. The difference between these two metrics is large because many large investors hold on to their coins indefinitely.

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These “cold” wallets contain billions of dollars in Bitcoin that belong to long-term investors, custodians, and institutions. They can greatly impact the price because any large sell-off can trigger extreme volatility.

Does Being a Millionaire Mean You Can Afford 1 Bitcoin?

Bitcoin’s Price vs. a Person’s Total Wealth

The definition of a millionaire presumes that a person’s net worth is $1 million or higher. However, it says nothing about how much cash such a person actually has. It means that, for most millionaires, buying even a single Bitcoin would be much harder than one would intuitively assume.

Why Millionaires Can Own Bitcoin Without Buying 1 Full BTC

Bitcoin is much like gold in that it is impossible to buy fractional coins – at least officially. That is why CZ’s millionaire warning applies almost exclusively to whole-ownership of a single Bitcoin. However, investors can buy fractions of a Bitcoin, which negates the entire point of CZ’s scarcity argument.

Fractional Bitcoin Ownership and Satoshis

One Bitcoin contains 100 million satoshis, which means that there is nothing stopping anybody from buying a fraction of a Bitcoin. If somebody wants to buy even one satoshi, they would be able to do so without any restrictions.

It means that, even if CZ’s scarcity argument is valid, it would affect only those who want to buy whole Bitcoins.

Who Controls Most of the Available Bitcoin?

Bitcoin Whales and Large Holders

One of the most important aspects of Bitcoin ownership is that it is decentralized. It means that there are no large entities that control the majority of the supply at any given time. Large Bitcoin wallets represent either institutions, custodians, or individual investors.

Whale activity is important because it influences the price directly.

Related: What?! Again? Michael Saylor Just Sold Another 1,690 Bitcoin — Should BTC Holders Worry?

Long-Term Holders and Dormant BTC

One way in which big holders influence the price is by locking their coins away for long periods of time. It is effectively a form of “printing money” because reducing the supply creates artificial scarcity.

Long-term holders usually sell their entire supply much more slowly than any other segment of the market. It means that their trading volume contributes to a smaller percentage of Bitcoin price changes than one would intuitively expect.

If long-term holders dominate the market and increase their stake in Bitcoin, the supply-demand dynamics will change significantly.

Institutions, ETFs and Corporate Bitcoin Treasuries

Institutional investors such as ETFs and corporations also affect Bitcoin supply-demand relationships directly. They contribute to Bitcoin price discovery while, at the same time, influencing the price directly whenever they sell large volumes of coins. The same applies to corporate treasuries that hold Bitcoin for extended periods of time.

What Could Make 1 Bitcoin Too Expensive for Millionaires?

Rising Bitcoin Demand

Bitcoin demand is one of the most obvious factors that can drive up the price. It means that, if institutional adopters start buying more Bitcoins, those who want to buy now will have to pay more to acquire their stake.

Declining New BTC Issuance

Bitcoin issuance is predictable because it decreases by half every 210,000 blocks once the Bitcoin halving occurs. It means that, at some point, miners will stop supplying new Bitcoins to the economy, and the only way to get rid of them will be to sell existing ones.

New issuance is one of the easiest ways for Bitcoin to increase in value.

Institutional and Sovereign Demand

Large institutional investors such as corporations and sovereign wealth funds can affect the price significantly. Even buying small percentages of Bitcoin from large entities such as exchanges can have a considerable impact on its price.

Sovereign demand for Bitcoins is particularly interesting since it represents institutional buying power.

The Impact of Lost and Dormant Bitcoin

Lost and dormant Bitcoin reduces the supply of tradable coins. Dormant wallets affect the market in much the same way that lost Bitcoin does – they remove coins from circulation, which causes supply shrinkage.

If many investors start selling their coins because they believe that Bitcoin is going to increase significantly in value, such selling pressure can cause the price to drop considerably.

Could Bitcoin Actually Become Unaffordable for Most Millionaires?

The Math Behind CZ’s Prediction

CZ’s warning makes perfect sense because it demonstrates that there is a point where demand for whole Bitcoin will exceed its supply. More precisely, there are already more millionaires than there will ever be Bitcoins, so it makes little sense to buy whole coins simply to hold them.

It means that, unless Bitcoin starts increasing significantly in value, nobody who wants to buy a whole Bitcoin will be able to purchase it in the future.

Related: Can Bitcoin Crash to $20K in 2026? What Could Trigger a Historic Crypto Market Collapse

Why Bitcoin Scarcity Does Not Automatically Mean Higher Prices

The entire idea behind Bitcoin scarcity is that demand will eventually outweigh supply. However, supply-demand dynamics affect prices much more indirectly than one might think – it is not as simple as just dividing the net worth of all millionaires by the number of Bitcoins in circulation.

Inflationary aspects of Bitcoin ownership affect prices differently, depending on which segment of the market they originate from.

The Difference Between Bitcoin Scarcity and Market Liquidity

Bitcoin scarcity and liquidity are two completely different concepts, but many investors conflate the two. Liquidity is the number one factor that determines prices because it shows how much an asset can change hands for at any given time.

High liquidity ensures that there will always be buyers and sellers for Bitcoin, which keeps prices stable. Low liquidity, on the other hand, makes prices extremely volatile.

Liquidity can be low for several different reasons, such as large sell-offs or big investors moving money out of the market.

What Could Prove CZ Wrong?

One way CZ’s prediction can be proven wrong is if there is not enough demand for Bitcoin. It means that if more institutional investors do not adopt Bitcoin, there will be no reason for its price to increase significantly.

Another reason why CZ’s prediction might be wrong is that people will continue to buy fractional ownership stakes in Bitcoin. It would make Bitcoin much more similar to stocks or precious metals like gold.

What CZ’s Bitcoin Prediction Means for Investors

Why Owning Less Than 1 BTC Could Become More Common

One reason owning less than one Bitcoin could soon become the norm is that there is nothing inherently wrong with fractional ownership. In fact, there are several compelling arguments for why buying a fraction of a Bitcoin is actually a smarter investment than buying whole coins.

As Bitcoin supply increases slowly but steadily, buying less than one whole coin becomes the economically rational choice.

Why Bitcoin’s Unit Bias May Matter Less Over Time

Unit bias is the psychological phenomenon that leads people to prefer assets denominated in the unit of account. It makes something like a whole Bitcoin much more desirable than 0.5 or 0.1 Bitcoins. The most logical way to combat unit bias is to remove the perceived barrier to entry.

It means that, once people grow accustomed to investing in smaller units, such as satoshi, the appeal of owning a whole Bitcoin will be greatly reduced.

Is 1 BTC Still a Realistic Goal for Individual Investors?

Theoretically, there is no reason why individual investors could not buy a whole Bitcoin. However, doing so would be somewhat irrational from an investment standpoint.

For some people, buying even a tenth of a Bitcoin might seem like too big of an investment, which is why smaller units of account such as satoshi are much more practical.

Will Millionaires Soon Be Unable to Afford 1 Bitcoin?

What CZ’s Prediction Gets Right

CZ’s prediction gets several things right – he understands how Bitcoin supply works and recognizes the problem with whole ownership of Bitcoins. His point shows that, at some point, demand will be strong enough to overcome Bitcoin’s built-in scarcity. It means that, eventually, there will be more people wanting to buy whole Bitcoins than there will be Bitcoins available for purchase.

What the Data Does Not Prove

What CZ’s prediction does not prove is that demand for Bitcoin will be high enough to cause its price to increase substantially. It does not take into account future regulatory changes, Bitcoin price discovery, or liquidity considerations.

Ultimately, Bitcoin supply-demand dynamics are much more nuanced than the Bitcoin scarcity argument suggests.

The Key Bitcoin Supply Metrics to Watch

Some of the most important factors that should be watched in order to understand Bitcoin supply-demand dynamics include circulating supply, new issuance, and large-wallet balances. In particular, long-term holders, exchanges, and ETFs all have considerable impact on Bitcoin prices.

Together, these metrics provide a more accurate picture of Bitcoin scarcity than simply watching the 21 million BTC supply cap.

FAQ

Why Does Bitcoin Have a 21 Million Supply Cap?

Bitcoin supply is capped at 21 million coins because of the way its blockchain protocol works. Essentially, there are built-in incentives for Bitcoin miners that encourage them to reduce issuance every 210,000 blocks through regular Bitcoin halving events.

Can Every Millionaire Own 1 Bitcoin?

No, not every millionaire can own 1 Bitcoin because there will only ever be 21 million Bitcoins in circulation at any given time. Using the most optimistic estimates, there are already 58 million millionaires on the planet.

How Much Bitcoin Is Left to Mine?

As of August 2026, there is less than one million Bitcoin left to mine. These amounts will be distributed over the next century because the Bitcoin issuance rate drops exponentially every four years.

Does Lost Bitcoin Increase Scarcity?

Yes, lost Bitcoin increases scarcity because it effectively lowers the supply of tradable coins. Lost coins are much like dormant wallets in that they remove supply from circulation, which makes Bitcoins much harder to acquire.

Will 1 Bitcoin Eventually Cost More Than $1 Million?

Likely, 1 Bitcoin will eventually cost more than $1 million because of its inflationary supply characteristics. However, it is not certain because there are other factors that affect Bitcoin prices, such as demand from institutional investors and sovereign wealth funds.

Follow the Story

  1. Aug 17CZ Warns Millionaires May Soon Be Unable to Afford a Single Bitcoin
  2. Aug 18Japan's Metaplanet launching U.S. bitcoin treasury company through $135 million nanocap deal
  3. Aug 18Bitcoin miners’ AI pivot pays off, but mining could revive with one twist
  4. Aug 18AI Token Outpaces Bitcoin After Project Crosses $100M Annualized Revenue
  1. Aug 17CZ Warns Millionaires May Soon Be Unable to Afford a Single Bitcoin
  2. Aug 18Japan's Metaplanet launching U.S. bitcoin treasury company through $135 million nanocap deal
  3. Aug 18Bitcoin miners’ AI pivot pays off, but mining could revive with one twist
  4. Aug 18AI Token Outpaces Bitcoin After Project Crosses $100M Annualized Revenue

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